All Topics

Deficit trajectories, entitlement reform, and generational equity

Federal Debt

Trillion dollar yearly budget deficits, trillion dollar annual interest payments on the national debt, and nearly $40 trillion in total national debt outstanding should be a warning to us all. Fiscal policy is out of control. Led by both political parties, trillion dollar annual deficits are the norm, and more and more debt seemingly doesn't matter. It does and it will. America is on a unsustainable fiscal path at the federal, state, and local level.

18Policy Briefs Published

Key Research Questions

  • 01

    At what debt-to-GDP ratio does federal borrowing begin to crowd out private investment?

  • 02

    Which entitlement reforms deliver the greatest fiscal savings with the least economic disruption?

  • 03

    How do interest rate changes affect the federal debt service burden?

  • 04

    What are the distributional consequences of deficit reduction across income groups?

Recent Research

Federal Debt

The Fiscal Reckoning: Projecting America's Debt Trajectory Through 2040

September 2026

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Federal Debt

Social Security Solvency: Reform Options and Their Economic Consequences

June 2026

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Federal Debt

Interest Rate Sensitivity and the Federal Debt Service Burden

March 2026

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Expert Commentary

"Sound federal debt policy requires rigorous data, not ideology. That is what PolicyMatters USA delivers."

PolicyMatters USA Research Team

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